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Monday, January 14, 2002

I was starting to think the India-Pakistan saber-rattling wouldn't lead to war, but now I'm starting to wonder if India might be overplaying its hand. Musharraf seems to have been doing everything he could logically do without looking like he was on their payroll. India is waiting to see if Musharraf will back up his pledge of cracking down on Pakistan-based Kashmiri terrorists. This will be a test of how much Musharraf is in charge; if cross-boarder raids don't slow down significantly then it will appear that the al Qaeda crowd is running things, not Musharraf, and a war will be likely given high-charged rhetoric coming from New Delhi.

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